Friday, July 31, 2009

Does Cash-For-Clunkers tell anything about Healthcare Reform?

Last night the government announced it was suspending the Cash-For-Clunkers program. In my twitterstream I reacted as follows:

dhsmith24 Cash for clunkers suspended w/i a week. What the heck are these guys doing? And they want to run #healthcare?


The doubt this #fail creates is real enough, but there is more, and Hugh Hewitt has expressed it best:

Just as with the tax credit for new home purchases, consumers altered their behavior when presented with an opportunity. Democrats thus have received a second example of an iron law of economics: People respond quickly to significant cash incentives.

The Democrats never get this. They never believe economic actors respond to incentives. There are alway massive unitended consequences of their great economic projects because they are constitutionally unable to work through all the implications of these projects. Democrats are working on a root-and-branch restructuring of the U.S. healthcare system that cannot work as they have currently proposed, they have passed a Cap and Trade energy restucturing plan that may more correctly be called the China Opportunity Act of 2009, and they think they can raise taxes on producers without limit. In every case they totally fail to reckon with the fact that producers will produce less, arrange their affairs to minimize the tax, or in the limit just bail out -- "Go Galt" in the emerging parlance.

But the people are sovereign, this is what they voted for, so all we in the reality-based community can do for now is speak out against things we know cannot work and hope they can be changed in process.

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2 Comments:

Blogger Matthew said...

I consider myself to be more of a liberal and I think that program was the dumbest government idea in a long time. It's an absolute waste of money.

I don't have much hope for decent healthcare reform. And I highly doubt the Republicans could come up with a decent plan either. The two-party system just doesn't work that well.

August 4, 2009 8:56 AM  
Blogger D H Smith said...

Thanks for your comment. I characterize C4C as the Chinese lending the American government money to subsidize people bringing forward their purchases of Japanese cars, with the destruction provision denying servieable used cars to Africans and South Americans who'd like to have them.

August 4, 2009 10:24 AM  

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